Monday, June 21, 2021

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    U.S. economy added 559K jobs in May and unemployment fell to 5.8% as COVID cases fell, more states reopened, report shows

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    Hiring picked up in May as employers added 559,000 jobs amid falling COVID-19 cases, a loosening of business constraints and stepped-up vaccinations, more than offsetting persistent worker shortages.

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    The unemployment rate fell from 6.1% to 5.8%, the Labor Department said Friday.

    Economists surveyed by Bloomberg had estimated that 674,000 jobs were added last month.

    Worker shortages impact economy

    The labor market is grappling with opposing forces. COVID cases recently fell to a seven-day average of about 17,000, lowest since March 2020. Forty-one percent of the U.S. population has been fully vaccinated. And life is returning to normal, with many states lifting nearly all pandemic-related restrictions.

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    As a result, consumer demand is surging back as Americans resume activities like traveling and dining out. Restaurant seatings on OpenTable, an online reservation service, were 17% below 2019 levels one week in May, compared to a 35% gap in a comparable April week and the strongest showing since the early days of the pandemic, according to Goldman Sachs.

    But businesses of all stripes can’t find enough workers to meet the demand, a shortcoming deemed the chief culprit in April’s disappointing job gains. Many economists pointed to a federal bonus in unemployment benefits that may be discouraging some people from returning to work or taking new jobs. Other workers are still fearful of contracting COVID or are taking care of kids who are remote learning.

    Those hurdles should diminish in the coming months. Half the states have said they’ll cut off the enhanced jobless benefits, starting in June. And a growing number of schools have reopened or announced plans to do so.

    Job growth could hit record in 2021

    Oxford Economics expects the economy to add a record 8 million jobs in 2021 as unemployment falls to 4.3% by the end of the year.

    There were other signs that hiring perked up in May. The number of employees working reached the highest level since the start of the pandemic, according to Homebase, which provides employee scheduling software to small businesses. And initial jobless claims, a gauge of layoffs, averaged 505,000 a week last month, down from 656,000 in April, a Goldman Sachs analysis shows.

    Even some recent college graduates, who faced especially difficult job searches through most of the pandemic, are finding a more welcoming labor market.

    Keeley White, who lives in the Chicago area, graduated a year ago with sociology and graphic design degrees and a 4.0 grade point average. But after three interviews for a job as a consumer experience researcher – who helps businesses create customer-friendly interfaces – a prospective employer told her it was freezing all hiring as the pandemic upended the economy in March 2020.

    Grads struggle to find work during COVID

    “It was maddening,” says White, 23, noting she felt particularly bad for her immigrant parents who look forward to her becoming the first in her family to graduate from college. “I was absolutely kind of heartbroken.”

    Realizing that few firms were hiring, White spent $13,000 of her savings on a  12-week bootcamp in user experience research only to face repeated rejection when she graduated in November and sent out 43 applications. She realized she was competing against hundreds of experienced researchers who had been laid off during the crisis.

    But after networking tirelessly on sites such as LinkedIn, White received a job offer from American Express in April and started in early May.

    “It made all of the struggles worth it,” she says.

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